In an episode packed with political insights and election commentary, Dana Lash leads you through a whirlwind of election day activities, exploring early voting advantages and hindrances for both parties. Unearth the complexities of the so-called blue wall, and delve deep into the unexpected patterns emerging from the current voting statistics compared to previous years. Meanwhile, prepare for twists and cultural snippets that keep the conversation lively and engaging.
The math doesn’t work. The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states in urban areas. They are down 1.4 million votes in the battleground states among women voters. Rural voters have overperformed early by 300,000. Democrats have to win their races early. Republicans generally win them on election day. And the margins don’t add up right now for the Democrats in any of these battleground states. The math doesn’t work.
SPEAKER 02 :
So this is the big the big thing is whether or not there is enough early voter like the voting, the momentum on the Democrat side, whether or not the early voting is if this is significant enough to carry them. Because usually, as you guys know, Democrats have been so good at early voting. That’s like their thing, right? That’s their thing. It was to the point where, you know, Republicans, we were lamenting and we were actually quite upset with ourselves because it was, you know, we were sort of falling by the wayside with it. So now here we are. What is… What’s… What does it mean? That’s what we’re going to dive into because welcome to the jungle, everybody. We’re kicking it off and it’s election day. We’ve lived… How, I mean, how many years? How many years has this been, I feel like?
SPEAKER 03 :
I can’t believe we’re here already.
SPEAKER 02 :
Did we make it? Are we here? How many sleeps before election? All right, so I have a packed show for you today. We’re going to go through everything. We’re going to look at different electoral pathways. We’re going to look at the top 10 races to watch. Watch the Senate, the House. We’re going to look at some of the early voting. I’m going to correct some arguments. We’re going to totally trash some polling. And then we’re going to talk about two pathways after. And then we got, of course, election shenanigans. If you have been paying attention, Lorraine’s got a great piece up right now over at Chapter and Verse, where she gets into some of the election shenanigans that have been going on today already. As you know, some of them are glitches, some of them are shenanigans, and she breaks all of that down. So we have a lot to hit. Now, again, welcome, your lovable curmudgeon, Dana Lash, here with you. No matter what happens today, we’re going to walk through it together. And, of course, we have to observe some hilarity. I have some cultural stories completely unrelated to the election, and I’ve been waiting all day, literally all night, all day to share one with you. So let’s dive into all of this. All right. First and foremost, So Election Day and early voting has been good for Republicans. The states and the battleground states, and we’re going to talk a lot about these battleground states, which include the blue wall. And you guys know these battleground states. We’ve talked about it quite a bit. Pennsylvania is chief amongst them. I mean, you’ve got Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona. And it has been all about turnout. Getting these Republican voters out. Because Republican turnout has always been the issue. Now I want to pause here for a moment because I touched on this yesterday. And I will caution people about comparing. The turnout, especially when you look at states like Pennsylvania and some of these battlegrounds, I will caution you in comparing turnout today to turnout of 2020. And there is a major reason why. Actually, two major reasons. First and foremost, it was COVID. Secondly… Republicans were hell bent against early voting in 2020 to the point that it actually depressed the overall vote on Election Day. I spent about two hours deep diving through all my notes at the time. This is a particular sore spot for me because I traveled in 2020 to a few of these battleground states. And it was insane and good, sweet people. Many of them listen to the show and I love them, but they were hell bent against early voting. They were not going to go do it. And I was trying to caution people, look in the areas where you can do it. If Democrats are going to allow you the chance to run to to score, then go by all means do it. I understand the principle. Look, I like voting on Election Day. My mother will fight you to the death to vote on Election Day only. There are certain people like this. I have dear friends of mine who are my age and some of them a couple of years younger who are like, no, we are only voting on Election Day. I get it. Believe me. But I want it. But in 2020, it was a different scenario. Republicans were just dominated by Democrats with early voting. And they didn’t, especially in 2020 with COVID and the concern over mail-in ballots and everything else, there was… And Trump spoke against it. So it’s very… You don’t want to measure early voting now to 2020 because they feel like we’re restoring behavioral norms. And as a result of restoring behavioral norms, it’s difficult for me to say that that’s a major gain when we’re going back to how it was normally, right? Now, I will say… If you’re comparing them against to Democrats, Republicans have been doing really well holding their own against Democrats in with regard to early voting. And we’re going to dive into that now. One of the other things. The state to watch is going to be Pennsylvania. I’ve heard a lot about early voting specifically in Pennsylvania. And like I said, I think that’s, again, not entirely representative of the whole story when you’re restoring normal behavior. But looking back, Trump won this state in 2016 by 44,292 votes. Biden won the state by 80,582 votes in 2020. So there’s not a lot of room for uh by these margins now as you know pennsylvania together with wisconsin and michigan they form that blue wall that’s the wall that that democrats love to hide behind and it’s protected countless nominees except in 2016 with hillary clinton and with dukakis it held in 2020 now the race is neck and neck any pollster who tells you what’s going to happen is lying to you if they if they tell you they know they’re lying to you it is so incredibly close I don’t trust the theories about the shy voter. I don’t trust the theories about the hidden voter or any of that because none of that stuff panned out in 2020. And I was looking at a lot of surveys, a lot of polling data in 2020. And what I was hearing wasn’t adding up with the numbers that I was seeing. So I’m super cautious going into this to the point of a super cynic, not to be a fatalist, but I want to be realistic because I don’t think that it helps a side to bolster an argument or say that you don’t need help when really you do. And maybe that could be the difference between winning or losing. Now, in Pennsylvania, a couple of things, because I hear people say there’s troubling signs that emerge, but there’s also some really good things. So I don’t want people to focus on like a lot of this early vote. One of the things you can tell with early voting is, you know, how many registered Democrats, how many registered Republicans, men, women, et cetera, et cetera, the ages. But you don’t know where those votes are going to because they’re not going to be counted. It’s not going to start until today. So in Pennsylvania, voters over the age of 65 have already cast half of the early ballots. Registered Democrats were 58 percent of those votes cast by seniors compared to 35 percent for Republicans. And that’s despite both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters age 65 and older. More women than men have early voted with women tending to skew Democrat. And I hope that the campaign because we started seeing this trend emerge a couple of weeks ago. And so I hope the campaign and I feel like it did. maneuvered on the ground to combat that a little bit to realize, oh, here’s where we got a leak, let’s fix it. Or this is where we have a leak, let’s fix it. And I feel like at that point, there was enough movement on the ground where they targeted those issues. But one of the problems with these trends is that a lot of the trends about voting and these discernible patterns, they don’t emerge until the votes start being counted. And a lot of the stuff that you hear about previous elections, these are patterns that were only able to be seen after the votes came in, if that makes sense. So that I don’t this is this is one of those things that underscores the need to completely swamp the vote. And and again, I think you also have to consider a lot of Republicans still, especially in some of these states. They like to go on the day of. But not all signs indicate trouble. There’s a lot of encouraging things to Republicans are leading early voting for the first time ever in North Carolina. This has never happened before. I think it has to do with North Carolina’s absolutely abysmal response to everything that’s happened in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. And the GOP has been reversing the party’s long-held position against early voting. Now, here’s another thing. We’re going to talk about a lot of these Senate races, but let me just give you a 30,000-foot view to start the show. Bernie Moreno, I said this yesterday, pulled .4 ahead of Sherrod Brown in Ohio, right? McCormick and Casey are tied in Pennsylvania, right? The better measure of Harris versus Trump, if you want a more accurate representation than what you’re getting from these national surveys, is to watch what happens in those races. Watch what happens in these battleground races between these these from state lawmakers that are just tied. This is significant. Now, Trump is also polling incredibly well in Ohio. So that’s part of it. But in Pennsylvania, he and Harris are tied. And so McCormick and Casey Casey has been reversing a lot of his positions. He’s been trying to run to the center. He’s invoked Trump’s name in ads, which we’ve talked about last week. I think this is a better measure of the health of the Senate. I said to you last night, if you subscribe to my newsletter and chapter and verse, I personally I believe I feel like at least Republicans will take the Senate with 51 seats. That is my estimation. Now, that could actually go significantly higher. You could go up to 55 seats because you have a number of these other races, which we’re going to talk about here coming up races to watch. And we’re going to dive into the House here coming up. Dixville Notch is the first town. This is a New Hampshire. They vote at midnight. What do they have, like a whole six people? A whole six people. Can I just say, how are you your own town with six people? That’s like me saying I’m going to form a micro nation here in my backyard, right? I don’t like what? Anyway, so in 2016, I can’t remember what it was. Was it 42 Trump? And then it ended up being tied or no, not tied. I think Biden edged him out. We’re like five or something like that in 2020. Bottom line is it was three to three. They literally are tied in Dixville notch. First time to vote three for Harris, three for Trump. And the funny thing is, is all these people, Democrats and Republicans, it’s a tiny six people. They use it as a narrative for the rest of the day, like at least until what came like 11 or 12 o’clock. That’s the narrative. And then, you know, they were pulling their hair out when they saw those come in. I thought that was hysterical last night. I got to say, I thought it was pretty funny. So this is, I mean, we got a packed show and we’re going to dive into the house races. House is, you know, this is where I got a little concern. I have some concern. We’re going to talk about Nevada. Nevada could be an issue of candidate quality coming up. I know people don’t like to have that conversation. I’m specifically looking at the Senate where you have the Democrat pulling ahead. We’re going to look at the other battlegrounds. We’re going to look to at that seat that what I think might be a 51 seat majority. Cruz’s seat. Now, you’ve got to remember Joe Manchin, who’s retiring. That’s all baked into this. Ted Cruz, his race for some reason, even though he’s over plus four of all red and it’s probably the closest race that he’s been in. And he I feel like the campaign should learn some lessons after Beto O’Rourke beat him by over two thousand and three hundred something votes in the most conservative red county. The last big urban red county that’s conservative in the United States. But I feel like there were lessons that weren’t learned there. But Cruz’s seat is plus four. It’s labeled as a toss up. It’s not going to be a toss up. He’s going to win, but it’s going to be close. That’s my that’s my forecast. We’re also going to talk. Trump grew coattails. Now, you can’t say that he did not have them in 2020. I’ll fight you to the death on that. I’m not saying this is a pejorative. I’m telling you this as a form of encouragement. He grew coattails. This is evident in Ohio, in Pennsylvania. It’s evident in Wisconsin. We’re going to look at this. That is very interesting. And it foretells if he wins… some good things to come from midterms. So we’ve got a lot to hit. We also have to catch up on the Daniel Penny case. We also have to talk about that dude who said he was a chick who was an Olympic boxer, but then they discovered that he had lady balls. I don’t know. We got to talk about all of that as well. We’ve got to get into the, the non major party voters. They are the plurality now. Makes it harder for both sides. But then in some ways it’s easier. So we got to hit all of that stuff and more. We got a packed show. You don’t want to miss a single bit of it as we move. 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SPEAKER 03 :
And now, all of the news you would probably miss. It’s time for Dana’s Quick Five.
SPEAKER 02 :
I’m not going to lie. I feel like of all the stupid things I would buy, it would be this. This beautiful Italian vacation spot is selling cans of its air. This is some Spaceballs stuff. It’s called Lake Como Air. air from Lake Como. You know, somebody just farted in a can and then just like sold it. That’s all it was. It says empty cans containing air from Lake Como are being sold to gullible tourists for like almost $10 a can. 400 milliliters. They’re being sold at a bookshop and a restaurant on the lake, as well as two other popular destinations nearby. And it’s they have an aerial image of a motorboat speeding across the idyllic Italian lake. That’s actually hysterical and I’m really, I’m sad that I didn’t come. You know what? We need to have like East St. Louis air, right? And just put it in a can. Or Washington, D.C., you know, by the, by Union Station air.
SPEAKER 03 :
So the air, $10, $11 U.S.? ?
SPEAKER 02 :
Why did I do this? I am so mad.
SPEAKER 03 :
But it’s still like only $8 for a beer at the stadium.
SPEAKER 02 :
Yes, but this is the air. I mean, it’s actual Italian air, you know, from the Lake Como. You know what I mean? Anyway, I feel like I want to make fun of it, but at the same time, I am not going to lie. There’s 10% of me that goes, oh, I want that. That’s Lake Como air. Farmers are… No. This is the headline I do not want today. Farmers are sounding the alarm about the future of potato chips in America. We’re going to riot. Because potatoes are getting harder to grow in places like Pennsylvania, which has the most potato chip makers of any state in the U.S. Save the taties. Save them tatie chips. No. The best kind are barbecue and salt and vinegar. I’ll fight you. I think that’s like the third time I’ve said that today. We’re not even an hour in. I’m just fighting everything today. Kamalanomics, the average age of the U.S. homebuyer has jumped to 56. 56 years old. That’s like when I was younger. Isn’t that the age of people would retire is 56. Yeah. Vote accordingly, guys. We got a lot more on the way. Races to watch battlegrounds and more. Stick with us. Our partners. Over at Preborn, it’s new to the program, new to the radio program. Preborn does a lot to help women, to help mothers, expectant mothers. And especially when you consider the culture of You know, life is just disposable. And the fight since Roe v. Wade, state by state, never before has it been more important to meet women where they are when they have these needs. Preborn clinics have counseled over a half a million women who have been considering abortion. They’ve saved 300,000 babies. Because when a woman sees an ultrasound, when she sees her infant, when she hears the heartbeat, well, that actually can save lives. And 80,000 women through this have come to faith. Pre-born network clinics rescue 200 babies from abortion every day. And they’ve been partnering with pregnancy clinics in the highest abortion cities and regions across the nation. They provide life-saving ultrasounds. And they also, mothers who choose life, they get help with maternity, baby clothes, diapers, car seats, counseling, everything. All these services are provided free of charge up to two years of assistance. This is where you help. This is what your help translates to. You’re the answer. You can visit preborn.com slash Dana. $28 sponsors one ultrasound. Help a woman meet her baby for the first time. $140 sponsors five ultrasounds. Any donation helps. If you donate monthly, you receive ultrasound pictures of the babies you help save. All gifts are tax deductible, and Preborn has a four-star charity rating so you can give with confidence. Visit preborn.com slash Dana. Help save a baby and mother’s life. That’s preborn.com slash Dana.
SPEAKER 04 :
Did you know eight out of the last 11 created jobs never really existed? Over the course of the past year, the Labor Department has revised the jobs report by over a million jobs. In case you forgot, the Federal Reserve was using this info when making their policy decisions. Check out the Watchdog on Wall Street podcast on Apple, Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts.
SPEAKER 08 :
Keep your finger on the pulse with the Dana Show podcast, delivering timely news with insightful analysis. Whenever you want, straight to you on YouTube, Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts.
SPEAKER 02 :
Is there a better intro to a song than GNR’s Welcome to the Jungle? Nay, there is not. You got to keep it going just for a second. Oh, my gosh. It is literally the best intro to any song ever. I mean, I’m just saying it’s divinely inspired. And there is no better song to describe a general election day than Welcome to the Jungle. Welcome back to the program. You’re in the jungle now, baby. Dana Lash here with you, your lovable curmudgeon. A little less curmudgeonly today. Even though I’ve got like a nervous… I just said I’ve got a… We’re all the same way, right? We’re all like… right now. But there’s something about the pageantry and the process of voting that is so distinctly American that I just love it to bits. I don’t care if I’m nervous about it or afraid. Even if I were losing, I’m still like… There’s something about it that’s… I love it’s so uniquely American. And I also have to say, I am trying really hard to not flirt with schadenfreude because the New Testament speaks against that. And I am a very I will only say this once. I am a very superstitious person. Insanely so. Like to the point, if the Cardinals baseball game is on, I literally cannot watch until the second inning because I feel like I jinx it. I’m not even, it’s weird. I have a bunch of weird things that I, it’s weird. I don’t know. I feel like I get weirder as I get older. And when I’m, if there’s something that I want to happen or I just, I don’t want to, how do I say this? celebrate any nervousness or misfortune or fear of my opposition when it’s so close and it really could go either you know i just so i’m trying so hard not to flirt with schadenfreude however it was a chilly morning in texas today and i didn’t need a jacket You know why I didn’t need a jacket? Because the nervousness and fear and paranoia and just outright anxiety that is being demonstrated by the left on the cable news networks and on social media and on blogs and on everything all across the United States is enough to warm my black and bitter heart. Audio sound by 12. Josh Shapiro, who didn’t get picked because he was Jewish. Let’s be real. Josh Shapiro would be the VP candidate. And he wasn’t because Democrats are anti, they’re, I mean, pretty damn anti-Semitic. I’ll share with you a conversation I had with a dear friend of mine coming up. But Josh Shapiro, this was his contribution, I guess, his last minute Hail Mary contribution. Audio sent by 12.
SPEAKER 06 :
It was here in Philly, just down the street, that we declared our independence from a king. And hear me on this. We are not going back to a king in this country. No. No, we’re not.
SPEAKER 02 :
So wait a minute. I’m like really confused. Who said that we’re going back to a king? And you know what? We’re also not going back to tight rolling our jeans. That is also not going to happen. Literally no one said this. Can we just say things that we don’t want that no one has proposed? We are not going to discify the national anthem. I don’t care how many people want it. It’s not going to happen. That’s Josh Shapiro. I just sort of feel like he’s along for the ride and doing whatever he needs to do just to get through this election cycle. So I had a conversation with a dear friend of mine who also represents me in a big agency. And My friend is, well, I’m just going to, learned him for years. And he is like your, like he’s like the avatar of your Jewish New York liberal, right? Manhattan’s got the accent, the mannerisms, everything. Like Manhattan liberal through and through. Jewish family. And I remember when I first met him, he just could not get over the fact that I was Jewish. I had no problem carrying a gun. And I was explaining to him it’s a cultural difference. Like if you grew up in Manhattan, you’re used to riding the subway when you’re like nine years old. I think that’s insane. Like going by yourself, getting on the subway, you’re nine, ten years old. That’s nuts. Everybody I know who grew up in Manhattan, they’re like, yeah, that’s like normal. I think it’s bonkers. They could not get over the fact that, yeah, you know, just take a BB gun, run out in the woods, start with a BB gun. And then, you know, you go from there. They just that was something that they could not understand. And I was in my conversations with my friend. I was telling him over and over, you know, this is a cultural thing. You’re not actually opposed to firearms. You’re not opposed to the Second Amendment. You’re not opposed to concealed carry. You’re not opposed to these things. You’re just unfamiliar with them because of how you grew up. And over time and over the years, as things happened and with constant pressure by me, things changed. And he said he went for the first time ever a couple of years ago to a range in upstate New York where that’s where America starts around Manhattan is upstate New York. He went to a range there and he like made mention that, you know, it works with me. And he couldn’t believe it. He was like, they were so nice. They waived his rental fees so he could shoot whatever he wanted and try it whatever he wanted. He didn’t have to pay for the range. He said everybody was so nice. I told him, I’m like, what did you think they were going to do? Like, you know, eat your brains like zombies? Like, what did you think was going to happen? It just cracked me up. But their kindness made him feel so comfortable that he really got into shooting. then when all the anti-semitic attacks begin happening especially new york and especially around where he lived he was very nervous about this and was like my gosh what is happening fast forward to yesterday we had a conversation and he i told him just out of the blue i said you know i go i’m really glad that kamala harris picked this this fud from minnesota and not just because he’s so easy to make fun of and him and his wife provide for me hours of content I said, I really feel like this race would be different had she picked Shapiro. Because they would have locked in Pennsylvania and then they would have locked in the more moderate independent vote. And I said, and they would have dispelled any kind of, you know, accusations of anti-Semitism for the most part. I said the reason that they didn’t was because he’s Jewish. And I go, I guess that’s the party now. And he goes, he’s like, he told me, he goes, there’s no way they would have picked a Jewish vice president. Now, this is a lifelong Democrat, New Yorker. He’s like, there’s no way they would have picked a Jewish vice president. No way. And I go, your party? And he goes, yes, I guess my party. And I’m like, you guess your party? What? And I’m like, I told him, I said, so you recognize that Democrats have an anti-Semitism problem? He’s like, yes. He’s like, I don’t think you realize how many anti-Semites are Democrats. And we had this stunning realization where we both looked down and saw that we were standing upon the same square, rhetorically speaking. And I told him, I said, my friend, I said his name. I go, you’re a conservative. His hesitancy. And this is what floored me. I felt like he was being more transparent in this moment than ever. And he had said, he goes, you know, when I break it down, I like a lot of he goes, I like a lot of the policies from the Trump camp. My friend just doesn’t like him personally. And he’s like, and I know he goes, you’re supposed to look over that when you go and vote. And he’s like, I think, but that’s kind of the problem for me. He goes, I want a Republican Party that I feel is a refuge from where I’m coming from, from the Democrats. And I’m like, my dude, you are a conservative. You just admitted to me that you want these policies. Oh my, I couldn’t get past anything else. I’m like, oh my gosh. Now keep in mind when I first met him, he was like a guest. It was almost the agent that I had had who was a very well-known agent retired. And when I was introduced to my new friend and we started working together, I almost felt like he was kind of watching me and testing me because my agent that retired was a lot older. He’d been in the business and he built people and he was like very, he knows everybody. He was able to get my number and call me out of the blue one time, like, you know, over a decade ago. It was crazy. And I felt like with my friend and my rep now that he was sort of like testing me to see if this is going to work. And it is amazing from our conversation last night to the first time we met, my jaw’s on the floor. Because he is, dude, you can’t tell me he did not vote Republican. He stopped right before because I don’t think he could admit to himself. Dude, he did. He totally did. I would bet everything on it. I’m not a betting person. I would bet everything on it. And the thing that did it for him was the economy and not even just the raging anti-Semitism that he saw on the left, but the fact that the whole party moved to accommodate it. without question and without apology. To him, the fact that so many people were able to excuse this and just sort of gloss over it was a terrifying thing. And that’s true. You know, I made mention of this last night in my piece over at Substack, how this has just been The craziest, craziest, most unpredictable general election, actually the last three in American history. And I said, too, that Democrats’ ability to roll over on principle and vet a candidate chosen for them by their ideological betters while bitching about losing democracy is a circus unlike anything the Romans could have ever imagined. But Americans… I wrote, are constantly besieged on all fronts by politics and the creation of entertainment politics as a coping mechanism is both understandable and also the reason why everything is even more unpredictable. We’re in weird times. And going, I mean, that’s, it’s close. I really feel, and I’m sure that, you know, tomorrow and the days after people are going to dice this up. It shouldn’t be this close. I’m so glad that she didn’t pick Josh Shapiro. It shouldn’t be this close. Hopefully the deluge of turnout is going to remedy any kind of situation that may bubble up in the margins. Now a few other things. The state of the race, non-major party voters are the plurality now. I’ve seen some estimates saying that they’re probably about 30 percent of the electorate. I thought this was fascinating. I was looking at some of the final swing state polls out from Emerson last night. And it’s I mean, it’s still super close. It’s still super close. I mean, I think most people believe that coming up, we will be controlled. Republicans will control the Senate. We only have to flip, what, two seats? Two seats is all it takes to take control. And if you win the White House, you only need one. So we’re going to look at some of these races because in Ohio… You have Republican Bernie Moreno going up against Sherrod Brown. Trump is doing well in Ohio. This is helping to propel Moreno. Trump is not, he’s not an anchor on the jackets of these candidates. In 2020, it was tougher. 2022 was tough. It’s different. And then the part of it is because Democrats have run one of the worst campaigns I’ve ever seen. Can I just ask, why do people keep saying it’s one of the best run campaigns ever? For real. I am shocked. Smart people are saying this. Were they paid? But the other thing, too, is that Sherrod Brown in Ohio. She’s Sherrod Brown is overperforming Kamala Harris, who last survey was like 11 points, almost 12 points behind Trump. Sherrod Brown is is overperforming is is overperforming Kamala Harris. To that effect, Trump’s double-digit lead in the state is propelling Bernie Moreno. Moreno has been leading, of the last six polls, what, five? Four to five, Moreno has led. Very interesting. Pennsylvania, this is going to be, I think, the race that is the thermometer. Bob Casey, the Democrat incumbent. Republican David McCormick, the challenger. 47 to 47 was 6% undecided. And McCormick, since October, has only increased his support by one point. Casey stayed static. Very interesting. Now, of the polls… They’ve mostly showed them dead, you know, tied. Maybe McCormick has a slight lead. Only two of them have shown that. But these are also two pollsters that have been kind of accurate. Atlas Intel and Trafalgar. Trafalgar did pretty good in 2016. Atlas Intel is pretty solid. Interesting. So this is another Senate race to watch. Coming up, we’re going to talk about the House. And we’re also going to get into some of these other battlegrounds and what to watch for tonight. And then coming up, the electoral pathways forward. There’s a handful of them. We’re going to explore every single one of them. There’s about five, six total. Harris has a couple more pathways than Trump. But two of them are a lot harder, and I don’t think that they’re feasible, really, for her. We’re going to get into all of that. 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SPEAKER 08 :
Get the lowdown on the latest news with a side of laughs whenever you want. Subscribe to the Dana Show podcast on YouTube, Apple or wherever you get your podcast.
SPEAKER 12 :
Like sands through the hourglass, so are the days of the United States.
SPEAKER 02 :
This is so awkward. It’s so awkward. Look at the circus ball. It’s so awkward. Is she just so playful? Kamala Harris, who’s, I guess, trying to door knock. She was in Pennsylvania all day yesterday. I’m just saying. Yeah, it’s everything is staged with her. I’ll never forget when they were in the gas station and a slappity McSlapface, Emhoff, brought her those Doritos. And she’s like, mmm, Doritos. Thanks. What I needed. Like, no one moves and acts like that. You’re like an alien. Stop. Coming up, the media narrative about carnage. America braces for carnage. White House is barricaded. Stores board up. It’s this boarding up the businesses. They act like there’s going to be violence on the right. have they not paid attention to what happened in 2016, what happened in the midterms? Stick with us. Second hour on the way. Where you can’t carry, the burn a gun can go because burn a gun doesn’t care about gun-free zone signs. Burn a gun doesn’t care about gun-free zones, period. And you still don’t have to sacrifice your safety to satisfy someone else’s insane ideology about lack of self-defense. Berna is able to deter threats by shooting chemical irritant projectiles like up to 50 feet. It can it can deter a threat. And when you consider like regular stun guns, they’re restricted to just a couple of shots. Berna, Berna shoots his five rounds, in fact. And again, it’s a non-firearm firearm. Berna SD is the most popular model. You can get different models. You can get different colors, different accessories. And it’s all about giving you options for self-defense. I’m always going to tell people, look, if you can carry, carry. I have zero problem in using lethal force. But I get aggravated because sometimes I have to go to places for work and I have to go. I don’t have a choice and I can’t carry. It’s private property. Maybe they ban guns. Maybe there’s, you know, there’s like a gun for whatever. Burna gun doesn’t care about any of that. It’s legal in all 50 states. They ship right to your door. No background check, nothing. So to learn more about Burna, visit Burna.com slash Dana, get 10% off your purchase. This is expanding your options of self-defense. It’s Byrna.com slash Dana for 10% off. Who did you vote for today? I voted for Kamala Harris.
SPEAKER 11 :
Why is that? I have three daughters, four children overall, and women’s rights is pretty important to them and my daughters. Sorry, I’m getting a little emotional about that. I didn’t think that I was going to do that, but their bodies, their choice type of a mentality. I want them to grow up in a world that’s welcoming to everybody. So yeah, that’s why.
SPEAKER 02 :
Why does he sound like he’s going to ball? Oh, my gosh. If I was his wife, I’d feel ashamed. I think I’d start divorce proceedings. That’s horrible. I’m not joking. I’m not joking. I’m not trying to be funny. That’s I find that just. So he’s this dude is talking about protecting his daughter’s right to abort his grandchildren. Can I just talk about how messed up it is that that’s your first thought is about you sexualize the vote? Well, it needs to be about I want to make sure that women if they end up engaging in recreational sex as if there’s any other kind. And when they engage in this, because we all know sidebar that rape and incest accounts for less than one percent. And that’s from Planned Parenthood’s own statistics, which is made public on the Internet by an institute called the Guttmacher Institute. So, you know, let’s move on. I just want to make sure that they can get rid of the baby after they have the sex and they conceive. That’s my only… I just find that a perverted view of your vote. Why does everything have to go back to sex and baby killing? It’s weird. You’re a grown man and your response is to sexualize the vote in the context of protecting it for your daughter’s Does any am I overreacting to that? I find that really weird. You guys find it weird. And he’s like, I’m sorry, I’m just getting I’m just getting emotional. It’s like it’s not even your vagina, dude. Like what? What in the world? You’re getting emotional because you’re talking about aborting your future grandchildren or you’re emotional because you’re just realize how sick it sounds to be sexualizing the vote through the perspective of your daughters and abortion. And see, we are not the same, y’all. We are not the same. Welcome back to the program. Dana Lash here with you. Top of the second hour. It’s election day. And we’ve been going through everything. And I want to take you through these electoral pathways right now. If you’re watching on this simulcast channel, 347 DirecTV, or listening on a station around the country, we’ve got the chat over at Rumble as well. What could happen? We were going through the Senate. I’m projecting the couple of the races to watch. I mean, really, the Republicans only have to flip two seats. And if we take the White House, it only has to be one. But I think it actually could go beyond that. But the other thing is two quick things. The Atlas Intel survey looks like it’s going to be a long night for Kamala Harris. And It just doesn’t look I mean, they’re just they’re tied. But she is also struggling with Hispanic voters. She’s struggling with men. And she’s also struggling with, I mean, black men voters. I mean, it’s just this is just it’s kind of wild. The pathways forward. And I’m pulling up all my notes on this. And I talked a little bit about this in the newsletter that I sent out last night. So you know that you have to get in the electoral college. You have to get to the magical 270, right? Magical 270. Where it stands right now. So if I’m just looking, for instance, let me just look at RCP’s ratings. RCP has it right now. And this is just not going by votes tabulated. Obviously it’s going by polling and certain States that, you know, we’re going to be blue and certain States that, you know, we’re going to be red. They have it at two 11 to two 19 in favor of Trump fans with 108 toss-ups. So you have Nevada, Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, a lot of question marks over those. Now here’s some pathways forward. And I was, again, I’ve been talking about this, uh, in the newsletter and we’ve, you know, we made, we’ve discussed at least a couple of ways, maybe before. So the first one is the famed blue wall, right? It’s the flame, the famous blue wall. This is honestly her most likely path. There’s a caveat though. Imagine you have a big, big blue wall and the bricks of this wall are, Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania. And then you have like a congressional district in Omaha because Nebraska does a mix of statewide votes in congressional districts. It’s I think Maine is also one of the states that that does this. So it’s a little weird. So Omaha is like its own thing. And. You have these these blue wall states. She doesn’t have to. You have blue wall. You have Sunbelt. You have Rust Belt. Right. You know, the Sunbelt, the southern states where it’s supposedly sunny. Your blue wall is the states that have always been Democrat, except in 2016 when they weren’t, because that’s when Trump rushed through it like the Kool-Aid man. And then with Dukakis. And then that’s it. It’s been Democrat the entire time. If she keeps the blue wall, she doesn’t have to worry about any of the Sunbelt states. Remember I told you before Harris was substituted, one of the Biden strategies was to make a play for Georgia. The Sunbelt state, right? Make a play for Georgia. That was going to be a backup in the event that one of the bricks of the blue wall fell. You could replace it with Georgia. And Harris seems to have kind of abandoned that strategy. It seems that theirs is just blue wall. She spent an inordinate amount of time in Pennsylvania and in Michigan and in Wisconsin. So she could keep the blue wall and not have to win any of the Sunbelt states. If she keeps the blue wall, and this is one of the things to watch, if she keeps the blue wall, she will get to 270%. Let me look at the map on this. So if you have, I mean, even if you just take out everything else, let’s just make Michigan lean dim. Let’s make Wisconsin lean dim. Let’s make Pennsylvania lean dim. Without Minnesota, without North Carolina, without Georgia, Arizona, or Nevada, she’s at 255 to 219 right there. Right there. Minnesota, you know, is going to lean dim. That takes her to 265. Now you see why Pennsylvania is so important to the Trump camp. They got to win it. I think Georgia will likely lean Republican. That puts it, giving Georgia to them, that puts it 235 to 265 electoral vote wise. So without even factoring in Nevada, Arizona, although I think New Hampshire, New Hampshire, I think is going to lean Dem even though she’s struggling. That puts her to 269 to 235. Even without North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, she’s at 269 there at 235. That is the significance of Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes. They had 20, but after the 2020 census, they lost one. So it was 20. Now it’s 19. So if she takes Pennsylvania. I mean, you have to have. Trump has to absolutely take. Here’s where it gets very interesting. He could take North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, and that puts it at 269 to 268. And then, of course, you have that Nebraska. Remember what I told you? The Omaha. Guess who’s favored to win there? Harris. And then that puts her at 270. That’s the pathway that they’re trying to make happen. That is the pathway. So this is it’s called Nebraska District 2 is what they call it. So it looks like any two. That’s the Omaha thing where you get one vote there. She’s favored to win that. So this is her strategy. So that’s the first pathway. And this is her… Very clearly, this is what they’re trying to make happen. So even if you have… If she takes Pennsylvania, that doesn’t leave Trump with a lot of options. Pennsylvania, they need to take it. They have to take it. Georgia has 16 electoral votes. Pennsylvania has 19. And then even if he were to take Arizona and Nevada, I mean… I mean, you’re going up against the amount of votes that Pennsylvania has. So that makes it… That’s a possibility. That is a possibility. Now, let’s say that… He wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. So let’s look at the map on this. And I’m actually filling this in myself on my desktop. So he takes Pennsylvania. And we’re going to start, by the way, we’re going to start with the baseline where everything is now, which is 211 to 219, with the states that we know we’re going to be in, arguably, Democrat and Republican. So you would have, if he takes Pennsylvania, you make that lean Republican. You make North Carolina. And I say lean Republican, light red, because it’s close. You give him on top of that baseline, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, that puts him at 254 to 211, right? Let’s say that she takes Nevada. She can take Nevada. That puts her at 217 still to 254 without even allocating in Arizona and the other blue wall. Like, you can give her the blue wall. We’ll go ahead and give her the blue wall because I think some of those, a couple of the states may hold at least. That puts her at 242 to 254. So… And then I think Georgia will go. He takes Georgia on top of it, and that puts him at 270. And you would still have 26 toss-ups, even if she were to take, I think she’s going to, let me do this, let me hit this. This is going to be, New Hampshire is going to be probably the Democrat. Give her a New Hampshire, that puts her up. Put Minnesota, it’s 256 still to 270. Toss-ups are 12. I mean, it’s still, even still, even with Arizona, she’s still not there. Still not there. So if he were to take Pennsylvania and then he because I think Georgia is going to go his way in North Carolina, then he’s got it. And then he will be at two. He’ll be at 270 and she’ll be at 268. Now, remember what I told you about replacing that brick. If you look at the blue wall and you factor in, even if she were to lose Pennsylvania, she could replace it with Georgia. If she loses Wisconsin or Michigan, she could replace it with Georgia. She could take North Carolina, too. So that’s a lot harder because you’re talking about 19 electoral votes. That’s a lot harder. She would have to win Georgia or North Carolina, and she would have to take Arizona or Nevada. You have to make those numbers up. Now, if she loses, if she doesn’t take the blue wall at all, let’s say she doesn’t take Wisconsin or Michigan or whatever, she would have to win all the Sunbelt states, which is not going to happen. There’s a lot of discussion about the red wall. In 2016, Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. He did not in 2020. If he takes Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin… He can lose North Carolina, he can lose Nevada, and he can lose Georgia. He would just need, Arizona has 11 electoral votes, he would just need Arizona and he would win. So, she has a couple of more pathways, but hers are so hard, the alternative pathways she has, besides the two most obvious, are pretty much the It’s just pretty much inconceivable. I offer them up because it I mean, it is a pathway. But I just don’t think that she’s I’m sorry, she’s not going to win all the Sunbelt states. That’s stupid, especially when she’s underperforming in some of these battleground states. What Clinton and Biden have done now, I will caution you. A lot of these exit polls are trash. Don’t pay attention to any of them, because these remember the exit polls were so wrong in 2020 and they were so wrong. Oh, my gosh. In 2016. They were kinda alright in 22. So, you gotta just… You don’t need, like I said, you don’t need that insight because they’re just going to be distracting and it’s going to be noise. It really will be. I know we got to get moving, but those are some of the pathways forward. We got to talk about the house to come still. ReadyWise is always ready, even if you’re not. And ReadyWise, it’s more important than ever to take charge of your own safety and well-being. I mean, good heavens, we’ve seen natural disasters and all kinds of stuff that have been taking place and you never want to go to the store to try to get food for your family and all the shelves are stripped. And then you’re like, what are we going to eat? So you can always be prepared with ReadyWise. In fact, visit ReadyWise.com, use promo code Dana20 at checkout and get 20% off of your entire purchase. And you can get free and fast shipping on most orders. So your provisions will reach you promptly. They have a 72-hour food kit. Buy one, get one. $100 in value for $50. It includes two boxes, 12 patches of premium survival food. And you get all of your calorie intake that you need for the day. Each serving pack has 260 calories, 6 grams of protein, 20% of your daily carbs. So it’s comfort in a crisis and beyond. And you can also take it like, you know, if you’re not just survival, but… And maybe you’re going hunting or camping or something like that. 25 year shelf life. 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SPEAKER 03 :
And now all of the news you would probably miss. It’s time for Dana’s quick five.
SPEAKER 02 :
All right. So the housing market is apparently mirroring 2007, according to a new report, not good, obviously. And, uh, making people nervous. National Association of Realtors found that the share of new homes purchased in 2024 increased slightly to 15%, but existing home purchases declined to 85%. This reflects the exact same housing market that existed in 07, when new home purchases made up roughly 15% of the market share and existing homes were about 85%. So Oh, stop it. You know what? I’m going to put up my Christmas decorations tomorrow. I’m just going to do it. I’m going to pause to come and do the show. If it goes sideways, that’s what I’m going to do. If not, then I’m going to be a brat tomorrow. Anyway, no. Spray on sneakers. This is nasty. This is Wall Street Journal. Made in three minutes and it feels like a sock, which is not how sneakers should feel. Are spray on sneakers the future? No, they’re disgusting. It’s a Swiss brand and they literally spray them on like a mold and then that’s it. Or no, it’s supposed to be your foot. I don’t know. It looks weird and I don’t like it.
SPEAKER 03 :
So you spray your shoes on your foot?
SPEAKER 02 :
You spray like a mold. And I guess I don’t even.
SPEAKER 03 :
You say mold like it’s actually mold.
SPEAKER 02 :
I just want like an old fashioned shoe. Stop trying to reinvent the wheel. It’s weird. I like it. The weird headline. Hunt is on for the scum who stole Britain’s largest inflatable planetarium. It’s large. They’re investigating. It’s the largest mobile inflatable planetarium. It’s been a regular feature at schools. It looks like a weird… It looks like a goth igloo. I’m not going to lie. Like, if Vikings made igloos, this is what it would look like. And it has some Dracula curtains in there. They’re long showing you. Got them Dracula curtains in there. Local police issued the alert after the inflatable was stolen. And the couple thinks that they all intended to take the trailer it was stored in rather than the dome itself. So they’re on the lookout. Okay. A… A South Carolina hunter fatally shoots a woman that he thought was a deer. Christopher McDonald was apparently illegally hunting at night. He fired off three rounds from a shotgun and struck a couple, killing the woman. And he was hunting at night. It was 8.15 p.m. I guess the couple were out walking in the woods. I don’t know. I just… Were they quiet? Like, do you not know what a deer sounds like? I just… Like if you hear people walking and like human noises, it’s probably not a deer. He turned himself in and he confessed to illegally hunting. But man, that’s wild. What a crazy story. He’s back in court in December. Stick with us. Black Rifle Coffee has the absolute best beans, the best roasts, the best flavor profiles that are that that’s out there. it’s so good and it’s so affordable you’re getting really good the world’s best coffee and you’re also you’re getting it at an affordable price because they understand that this is a veteran owned veteran founded veteran run in active duty they got some active duty there to company and And everything that they do is a tribute to those who fought for our nation. Now, right now at BlackRifleCoffee.com, they have their Freedom Roast, which is smooth, full of flavor. You can save 20% on the Freedom Roast with Codana. Only at Black Rifle Coffee. And when you subscribe to the coffee club, you get free shipping and automated orders. You pick the roast you want or roast how often you want it. And it ships free shipping right to your doorstep. So you are always enjoying the convenience of having your favorite coffee on hand without having to do a last minute run to the store to get coffee that morning. And again, they’re dedicated to their mission of supporting veteran and first responder causes. This is premium coffee, whole bean, K-cup, ready to drink. And you can also get apparel, kettles, grinders, mugs, and more. So get your freedom on with the Freedom Roast from BlackRifleCoffee.com. And enjoy other top shelf roasts as well, like the Just Black, the Silence or Smooth. Whatever you decide, you’re going to get 20% off using code Dana. Only at BlackRifleCoffee.com.
SPEAKER 08 :
Make some common sense of the crazy headlines with the Dana Show podcast. Your on-the-go guide for getting up to speed on today’s most important stories. Subscribe on YouTube, Apple, or your favorite podcast platform.
SPEAKER 01 :
Get out the vote! Let’s get out the vote! Let’s get out the vote! Let’s get out the vote! Let’s get out the vote! Let’s win! Hmm.
SPEAKER 02 :
That was cringe. They were chanting and then she hijacked it and ruined it. So it’s like the second time this has happened. She’s horrible at this. Do not let her near chance. She’s horrible. Welcome back to the program. Dana Lash with you. We’re at the top of this or bottom of the second hour. And a lot of stuff to focus on. The House races, excuse me, to watch on election night tonight. You have a few. You have the 7th District in Virginia. That’s the Vindman one. I’m not a Vindman fan. You guys know him, his brother and the military secrets and all that stuff. Democrat Eugene Vindman, Republican Derek Anderson. These are the guys that are battling and it’s tilting Democrat, but it’s not safe. You have Nebraska’s second district. This has been this is what is a. What they call crossover districts. Crossover districts are districts that have as their rep one member of a party. And then it was carried by the president of the presidential nominee of the opposite party. And then the authority or influence of the party holder or the seat holder, their party, is in decline. And there are like 19 or 20 of these districts. And a lot of this, they had their lines redrawn after midterms. So this is one of these. This is the second district in Nebraska. It’s considered a Biden crossover district. biden would have won this four years ago this is uh a guy who’s a retired air force officer he flipped the district in 2016 he defeated the democrat brad ashford by like barely a point and so he is going up against democrat tony vargas this guy’s a 40 year old state senator he’s trying to be the first latino member of congress from nebraska and he uh in 2022 uh This representative, Don Bacon, who’s the centrist Air Force guy, he defeated him by less than three points. And so it looks the district looks looks like it’s leaning for Harris. But this but that Bacon is leading Vargas. So it’s kind of it’s a weird one to watch. And you have a Trump crossover seat in Maine’s second district. And then you’ve got a Trump backed guy, a 30 year old state rep, former NASCAR driver. And then he’s going gun control is a big issue there because the guy, the Democrat who’s running Jared Golden, who is the Democrat rep, he’s the incumbent. He tried to become more moderate and he’s a big gun control guy. And he’s been kind of waffling on his support for Second Amendment rights. So this has been a big issue in that race. Michigan’s 7th District is an open seat. Republican and Democrat, $37 million in ad spending for that race. And then you have Colorado 8th district. You have two freshmen going up against each other. Pennsylvania is their 10th district is tilting Republican. Now the Colorado 8th district is a toss up. Michigan 7th district tilts Republican. Pennsylvania’s 10th district tilts Republican. And you’ve, I mean, I think it’ll probably end that one and it’ll go Republican. New York’s 19th district, that tilts Democrat. 45th district in California is considered a toss-up. North Carolina’s 1st district, that’s a redistricted district that is leaning Democrat. Then you have Iowa’s 3rd district leaning Republican. So there are a number of these House races that And five of them, it’s considered there’s going to be like five of them are going to be the races to watch that are going to be the determining factor in controlling the House. And one of those is that Virginia 7th seat. That’s that Vindman race. Then you’ve got the New York 17th district. That’s the Lawler. He went up against Mahoney. Nebraska’s 2nd district that we just talked about. New Mexico’s 2nd district, which is… That one is… Like apparently like abortion and immigration are the biggest issues there. It’s a rematch between a Democrat incumbent and a former Republican Republican rep. And then you have Alaska has an at large district. So those are the five races that are ultimately a lot are saying that are going to determine the control of the House. Now. In terms of excuse me, in terms of who’s going to were projected, I think that Republicans are going to keep the Senate at 51 seats, although. They could, I think, take more of them. They could actually end up getting more than just the 51 seats. But for I think Republicans may. There’s a lot of toss ups, a lot of toss up rates. Ten are Democrats. There are 12 Republican toss up races. You have more toss up and lean Democrat races than you do Republicans. So they definitely have a lot more ground that they have to defend. But it’s there’s a possibility. I mean, we could take the House and the Senate and we could take the White House. All of that’s going to depend on how well Trump performs and what the turnout is going to be like. If you have crushing, huge, crushing, huge Republican turnout and you have like, for instance, and you have in Pennsylvania that Senate race. Casey, if he’s defeated, that’s a very interesting sign. I mean, there’s a really there’s a chance you could sweep all three. There’s a chance that this could be in terms of the amount of seats taken. More of a victory for Trump than in 2016. Or it could be like 2020. I know, super helpful, isn’t it? It’s so close, guys. That’s what happens when it’s this close and everything’s decided in the margins. It’s when it’s this close and when you have the plurality of voters that are non-major party voters, meaning they’re not hardcore Republicans, they’re not hardcore Democrats. That’s a huge issue. So two odds and ends. Steelworkers have been showing up for Trump in Pittsburgh, bucking the union that endorsed Harris. This is a Politico piece. Not the first time that something like this has happened. Someone said he saved us once with tariffs. Interesting. You had the union bosses that supported her, but the union workers would not. And then a survey that came out. This is actually a decent survey. I looked at this last night before choosing to include this today. It’s from Axios and swing state college students. She’s leading. Now, that’s fine. She can lead as much as she wants to swing state college students. They don’t turn out to vote. as much as older voters do. So kind of interesting. I want to switch gears here. One cultural touchstone. You need to know about this update. Do you guys remember the Algerian boxer, Ameen Khalif? Remember that boxer who wanted to fight women? in a main cliff, Algerian French. And they were saying that, no, no, no, he’s a she. And I mean, he like was beating the hell out of the female opponents. And then they tried to say that, oh, no, no, he, she has a, they were calling her a she and saying that, oh, well, you know, he has a very unique health differentiation. You know, the chromosomes, all this stuff. Well, apparently, Khalif has lady balls. There’s a… No, no, no. French media got the medical report revealing that he has, quote, testicles. I know you’re shocked. He won a gold medal in women’s boxing at Paris Olympics. He’s a man. He has testicles. I’m saying factual scientific words, Cain. He has giant… Amounts of testosterone.
SPEAKER 03 :
Oh, okay.
SPEAKER 02 :
You okay? Huge amounts of testosterone.
SPEAKER 03 :
All right.
SPEAKER 02 :
Yeah. Because he’s got lady balls. So they said that he has also, and I’m going to try it. Okay. Five alpha reductase deficiency.
SPEAKER 03 :
Sounds right.
SPEAKER 02 :
It’s a disorder, a sexual development disorder only, uniquely, singularly found in biological males. Hmm. So he’s a dude. Remember the Olympic Committee was like, no, no, no. He said he’s a dude and he looked down his pants and we trust him. He’s bigger. He hits harder. I mean, he’s a dude. He has testosterone. I mean, his gametes were functioning. His, yeah. So, I don’t know how, like, does that mean he has to give up his gold medal? What does that mean? Hmm? Does he have to give up his gold medal? I mean, he’s proven a dude, so I’m curious. I don’t know what that means. I don’t know how that works. I’m not going to pretend that I know how it works, but… I just feel like, you know, he this all was proven. So there should be an apology because all of the women who were complaining about this, they were called bigots and name called and all this stuff. So now it turns out that this he’s actually a dude. Of course you knew that. They had a I remember what remember the International Boxing Association held a press conference and they were trying to like shame everyone into shutting up. And then they they said that they confirmed repeatedly the IBA that Khalif had faced failed multiple chromosomal tests, but they couldn’t release. They were unable to release it from the because of the Algerian Olympic Committee. So the the Algerian, the AOC, the Algerian interesting Olympic Committee was trying to hide all this stuff. They knew they all knew they let a dude go in. They knew it. This was not a secret. So coming up. Couple of things. Nevada’s early voting is interesting too. So far, Republicans are outperforming Democrats. And the Democrats, though, their mail-in ballots are starting to swamp Republicans’ mail-in ballots. Republicans will win unless Harris wins over the independents. She has to have a huge number of independents. They’re not breaking for her. That’s the other interesting thing. Like the day the voters that are voting that didn’t vote in 2020 are not breaking for Harris. So that’s going to be interesting as well. So we’re going to we’re going to watch all of this. And we have some of the latest news from actual polling places. And the shenanigans that are taking place. So some things to watch for. We’re going to get into all of that and more. We have Florida Man on the way. As we move, our partners. this portion of the program the caltech p15 great company florida-based company and we need more companies like caltech if you haven’t gotten the p15 or if you haven’t checked it out you really need to because it’s just the lightest thinnest double stack nine millimeter that is out there comes in metal frame version in the polymer version so striker fire pistol metal frame version has a gorgeous walnut wood paneled The polymer version has a gator grip texture and it comes both come with two standard capacity magazines. First is a 15 round mag with minimal pinky extension. The second is a flush fit double stack mag that holds 12 rounds tritium and fiber optic front sights fully adjustable fiber optic two dot rear. And lifetime warranty, compact, ideal for concealed carry. From Kel-Tec, the inventors of the micro-compact pistol category. Quality made right here in the U.S. of A. Innovation, performance, Kel-Tec. Learn more at Kel-TecWeapons.com. That’s K-E-L-T-E-C-Weapons.com. Tell them Dana sent you.
SPEAKER 03 :
It’s his life mission to make bad decisions. It’s time for Florida Man.
SPEAKER 02 :
So, um… This guy, a Florida man threatened a state trooper with a gun and a bomb. Police had to send out traffic alerts for residents to stay away from the area. A 39-year-old man threatened a state trooper at a local Wawa, saying, quote, he better back up because I got a gun and a bomb. Did he have either, though? The Port St. Lucie police arrived. The guy tried to drive to the Wawa off of Tradition Parkway. He crashed into two officers and troopers attempted to block him in. They did immobilize him. And they did take him into custody. He did not have a bomb. He lied. I’ve gone in a bomb like everything I can think of just to stop getting arrested. A Florida man slimmed into a telephone pole by running from deputies who busted him for drugs during a traffic stop. Spring Hill man. He smacked into a telephone pole while running away from a car filled with drugs. So they pulled him over. His name is Scott. We’re in and Heidi Reynolds were pulled over by deputies and they saw a rolled cigar containing most pot. Then they found a pillbox literally with the word Xanax written on it that had I don’t even know what this pill is. I don’t know how to alpha. Al Frazzellam? Oh, Black Betty, Al Frazzellam. I don’t even know what it is. Two separate baggies with fentanyl residue inside. So they were trying to detain them. And there was a scuffle. And then they found syringes filled with meth and all kinds of stuff. And the guy tried to run away. Yeah, he did not literally run into with a with a car. He ran into it with his person with his legs. He ran right into a telephone pole and it knocked him down. And they were able to detain him. Makes it funnier, doesn’t it? Because it wasn’t a car. He ran right into a telephone pole. How do you run like physically into a telephone pole? Like was he? I don’t know. He got charged with more things than I’m going to read. And the bond is like a $30,000. Yeah. there you go uh let’s see here um oh man let’s see that one’s that one’s heavy let’s do uh now we got the guy who’s bitten by a shark oh we can talk about the woman who stole seven thousand dollars in return from the dollar general that she used to work at how do you seven thousand isn’t that like a whole dollar general store is seven thousand dollars So that’s what this is. She looks like one, too. Lee County Sheriff’s Office. Her name is Dominique McCurdy. Cain, how do you spell Dominique?
SPEAKER 03 :
D-O-M-I-N.
SPEAKER 02 :
Wrong, Cain. What? Dominique McCurdy here. Her name is D-O-M-Y-N-K-N-Q-U-E. Oh. dom unique mccarty she used fake refunds and applied them to her debit cards over the course of two i am going to make fun of that spelling of that name absolutely i am i mean good night she said she needed the money for an upcoming move and was financed in the future costs associated with it and so they said that uh she would scan they have a 50 toy at the dollar general A toy called Squeaky Dino multiple times to make the returns. She was charged with larceny and defrauding to obtain property valued at less than $20,000. That’s crazy. Yeah, her name. I mean, I wouldn’t have guessed that she was going to be a criminal with the spelling of her name, but you know. Good heavens. This, let’s see. A Florida man threatens to kill everybody. Like literally everyone. But then he decided to break them up into, you know, more organized demographics. Nathaniel James Holmes, 51. He threatened to kill the children of one victim and all of their Jewish friends and all of their African-American friends online. Good night. Jacksonville, Florida. This 51-year-old Nathaniel Holmes, he got charged with four counts of transmitting interstate threats to injure people. and he could face 20 years in prison. So apparently he got, I guess he got into a fight with somebody online, and he, you know, very, in an organized fashion, threatened everybody. So he was, this was like that Clint Eastwood, like, I’m going to, you know, if anybody starts beating up any more of these whores, I’m going to come after you and, what is it, kill your family and your dog too. So he was like, I’m going to go after your children and all your Jewish friends and also your African-American friends. So you say something, That’s like racist and anti-Semitic. But then you used African-American. You’re very careful about your language. Like people are confusing. This dude is confusing to me. Anyway, he could go to jail for a long time because you can’t make death threats digitally. And Florida has a special different applications of law over it. So our third hour is on the way. And coming up, my friend Glenn Reynolds, a.k.a. Instapundent law professor. What happens after the election? We’re going to talk. Stick with us.
SPEAKER 05 :
If we don’t show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast a ballot again.
SPEAKER 02 :
Oh, my gosh. This is so stupid. That’s just one of the dumbest things that I’ve ever heard. This language that Democrats are engaging in whenever they go out there and try to scare people into voting is just asinine. It’s Oprah Winfrey, who was there campaigning with Kamala Harris last night. It was a late night in Pennsylvania and it showcases that Kamala Harris, her, we talked about this last hour. If you want to go back into the podcast archives to look or to listen, she’s clearly trying to make a play for that, for the blue wall, for the electoral college. She wants to shore up Michigan and Wisconsin. She wants to shore up Pennsylvania where Trump has only had. a point three lead going into it. They’re trying to bank all those early votes so that they can withstand the deluge of same day Republican voting. And I don’t know if it helps her to have these celebrities out there, especially in like Pennsylvania, to have celebrities and people like like Oprah Winfrey out there to campaign for her. I just don’t know if that’s helpful for her to have. And I also think that this language is asinine. I mean, he was president before, so why didn’t he do that? Trump was literally in the White House for four years. Why didn’t he do it then, Kamala? He’s going to do something that he didn’t do when he was president the first time. He’s never going to let you vote again. You see, this is asinine. But they’re worried. She spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania. And that wasn’t Democrats had to do a U-turn because when it was Biden, Biden’s play, as I was explaining for his electoral pathway, he was going to go for I mean, he was going to he had a blue. I took the blue wall in 2020. But he underperformed Democrats previously in those states. Trump bust through the blue wall like the Kool-Aid man back in 2016. Biden underperformed. I think that they were anticipating Biden doing poorly in those states. So they were going to try to make a play for Georgia. But then they swapped them out. Harris is going to have a harder time in Georgia. So they’re trying to she was performing better in Pennsylvania than in Georgia. So they were going to make that play and have that blue wall and hope that that holds. And I was telling you what the different and I don’t want to go through it all again. But you can go back in the archives and listen in minute detail what that would look like if she even were to be successful. But it all comes down to turnout. All of this comes down to turnout at this point. Republicans have done a really, really good job. I wish they would have started earlier is my only complaint. And you guys know this because I’ve talked about it for a year and a half now. They going into 2020, Democrats had a 600,000 plus turnout. advantage of registered voters over Republican registered voters. Republicans have whittled that down to half. So there, I think it was something like 300, almost 300,000 additional registered voters for Republicans. So they cut the deficit for that. So hopefully everybody gets out and votes. Now going into election day in 2020, Joe Biden had over a million dollars, million dollars, sorry. He had over a million votes going into election day. So he banked over a million votes and had that advantage going into election day. The margin in New Hampshire Well, the margin, and I’m trying to think, because in these states, looking at the, so in Pennsylvania, I was trying to think, he had like a few thousand advantage. In Michigan, a few, and it didn’t materialize for him. In Pennsylvania, it was over a million, but he only ended up with like 80,000. He won that state by a little over 80,000 in 2020. I wrote about this. If you follow along on Substack, the newsletter, I got into some of that because in 2020, I’m going back. Bear with me. Got a lot of stuff here. So in 2020, It was 80,582 approximately. That was how much Biden won the state. Now, the reason I’m saying this is because I’m looking at early voting here and the registered registered Democrats that have voted. But we’re not you just you just note that these are Democrats that have voted. You’re not noting who they’re voting for. He carried a one point one million vote advantage going into Election Day in 2020. But. He literally only won Pennsylvania, the Keystone State, by 80,582 votes. Think about that for a moment. Again, a million registered voters, 1.1 million had that advantage going into Election Day. Democrats, Pennsylvania was previously a stronghold. Philly was a stronghold. But the margin was barely over 80,000. And the reason I bring this up again, Harris is going into Election Day with 412,000 compared to Biden’s 1.1 million. So that’s almost a million fewer votes that she’s going into Election Day with. So in Philly, for her to be successful… I mean, they have to have a get out the vote unlike anything they’ve ever seen in Philly. I don’t know. And that’s where the Oprah rally was. It is really hard to get a massive amount of same day voting out of an area that that has already shown it is not going to turn out heavy for early voting. So I don’t know how Democrats are gonna score a win with that. And again, this is after Republicans have whittled that deficit, the 600,000 registered from 2020 down to 300 something thousand. So like for instance, in Philly, they’re not coming out in droves. They didn’t come out in droves for early voting. Democrats did not. That’s a problem. This is why she’s like living in Philly right now. This is why. Now, what you’re going to hear from Democrats, and I heard this a lot. I heard it in 2016. I heard it in 2018. I heard it in 2020. I heard it in 22. The cannibalization of same day votes. So you have, you know, brand new Republicans and then they and then they don’t come out and vote. And by, and I had a friend, I was talking to a friend of mine who was saying, well, and this is a great point. By definition, they’re brand new Republican voters if they’ve just been registered. So they’re not the traditional type of Republican. They’re already considered a low propensity voter because they’re brand new Republican voters. And it is also hard for brand new registered voters. It is not as difficult, but it is still kind of a fight to also get a high level turnout from that demo. So I’m just giving you the lay of the land, what Republicans have to deal with and what Democrats have to deal with to give you. It’s harder to be Harris in Pennsylvania. Oh, believe that a hell of a lot harder. I already told you before that you need to entirely ignore exit polls. They’re trash. They are trash. Absolute trash. The whole purpose of a stupid exit poll is you’re collecting data about what voters are worried about. What is motivating voters? And you’re looking at what demo is turning out here and all of this. And it’s supposed to be useful in helping to determine why the outcome was the way that it was. But they don’t really tell you what the outcome is. They just tell you why it is. And then they always correct them after the fact. So it’s garbage. It’s absolutely garbage. And they’re meaningless. So just ignore them. You already know going in. And they get less accurate as the closer we get. I will say, let’s see, a couple of things. There’s a lot of gains that Trump has made. A lot of gains. I know that it’s neck and neck. I know that it’s in some battleground states, Trump is like leading within a point and in some she’s leading within a point. So they’re like virtually tied. But I will I’ll keep saying that I still think it’s way better to be Trump than it is Harris by far. By far. So no one knows, like I said, and this is how I started the piece last night. Not a single person knows what’s going to happen right now. It’s that close. Even the most honest pollsters out there, I think Dave Wasserman over at Cook is phenomenal. Nate Silver, I will say, is at least transparent. They’re even saying, they’re acknowledging how close it is. It all comes down to turnout. Turnout is always factored in to every major Republican loss. Turnout was the reason that the, and the Tea Party was instrumental in this, getting voters out to take back the House in 2010. They were instrumental. They were instrumental in helping take back the House this last time, coming out a deluge of Republican voters. Whenever Republicans turn out, the wins are undeniable. This is the right’s election to lose. Democrats can’t do any more than they’ve already done. They can’t. They cannot. They cannot do any more than they’ve already done. It is the rights to lose. So it comes down to enthusiasm. And you measure this by how many people are coming off early voting. What are some of the how are some of the state the down ballot races performing? And this is where it gets real tricky for Democrats in Pennsylvania. And I’m focusing a lot on Pennsylvania because I ultimately think that that’s the key. Clearly, you know that Democrats are making that their last their last stand because Harris has spent an inordinate amount of time there. And that’s what you know, you can’t rely on the exit polling, but you can rely on where the candidates are going. She’s obviously terrified that she’s not going to be able to keep up that blue wall. She is trying to hold that wall. Now, one of the things that I think is accurate is that the, this is kind of, it’s like anecdotal, but in heavily blue areas and in heavily red areas, the turnout is high. You gotta measure who’s higher. That’ll come up. But I think that the motivation is enthusiasm on the right, and discord on the left now think about that they’re not the same are you more motivated if you are really enthusiastic about going and casting that ballot or if you’re like i hate this person so i gotta i just i have to vote against them what motivates you more think about it i mean it’s psychological Let’s see. New Hampshire is a nothing burger. Sorry if you’re there. But, you know, I don’t really I don’t really see it as being anything determination determining the competitiveness. I don’t believe in the shy Trump voter thing. I don’t believe that’s a narrative. Everybody’s like people. Pollsters are going back and forth on it. And that all comes down to Nate Cohn over at The New York Times, who had said, oh, it’s Trump voters that are less likely to talk to me than than Harris voters. He came up. I mean, it’s basically from his stuff that people are taking the shy Trump thing. I don’t want people to take that and think it’s a real thing because I feel like it gives people an excuse to relax a little bit. And I don’t want people to relax. I mean, there needs to be a nervous deluge at the polls. So it’s, again, when the ballots are counted, that’s what matters. Now, speaking of that, we got to talk about some shenanigans. Lorraine has a piece up right now, election shenanigans. She’s got two pieces up, part one and part two. Because she gets into the FCC stuff. She also gets in the voting lines in Philly. Gets into some of the PACs with the television ads. And then lawsuits everywhere in Pennsylvania over the ballot and going to vote and all of that. There was a video where she was saying that it was a guy who was claiming to be Haitian who was saying that he voted in Georgia. But she was like sussing that out and saying that she thinks it’s a troll. And she goes into a deep dive into why she thinks it’s actually not a real video. But there are issues in Georgia. There have been lawsuits, as she notes, and filed in Fulton and other counties because they’ve been accepting absentee ballots at like drop off locations over the weekend. And that doesn’t go along. I mean, I don’t know how that Georgia changed their law. And remember when they did it, I was super critical. I’m like, they changed it because of COVID. And I actually think they made it more relaxed. And so there’s a lot of argument over whether or not the Republican Party understood the terminology and the reading of those election procedures in Georgia. So is that an offense or not? But you need to go and read this piece because she gets into the Colorado stuff with the password thing and all of it. So there are some things that are happening. That’s why the turnout has to you have to overcome margin of error and margin of fraud.
SPEAKER 03 :
And now, all of the news you would probably miss. It’s time for Dana’s Quick Five.
SPEAKER 02 :
So the Fed is considering, again, Federal Reserve, is looking to cut rates while facing a hazy post-election outlook. Are they going to cut rates again? Are they? Are they, though? It’s not doing anything. They said that they’re moved two days after the election with inflation. They say inflation’s cooling. And so the Fed is set to cut interest rates for a second time this year, which makes sense to cut the rates if inflation is gone. Right. It’s going away. So let’s cut the rates again. Makes all the sense in the world, doesn’t it? That’s what one does, you know, when the inflation is cooling. I just I feel like all these people missed the economics class that we were all required to take as college freshmen, but maybe not. So and they keep trying to say, well, you know, if the economy is struggling right now, it’s because of Trump’s proposals for tariffs, etc. I don’t believe that. That’s a whole other topic, too, on tariffs. It’s separate from this. And no, this is not the effect that there. No. Let’s see. So a U.S. soldier who was injured during a Gaza pier operation has passed away. I know that’s what we did it as an Biden did it as a vanity exercise. And so now the soldier who is in critical condition, he suffered noncombat injuries while supporting the military’s peer off of Gaza. And remember, it was attacked by terrorists. And so now he’s passed away. According to the U.S. military, this happened yesterday, suffered critical injuries while supporting these operations. I mean, this is another Biden Harris soldier fatality coming up. Glenn Reynolds, what happens after the election? We’ll talk. Stick with us. the dana show podcast your fast funny and informative news companion for those always on the move subscribe on youtube apple or wherever you get your podcasts i wish all of our candidates were like alice cooper in this video i want to be elected that would just make it so much more fun would it not it would be so great what what like a glam goth like old rock election that would be welcome back dana last year with you you can listen coast to coast watch us on channel 347 direct tv as well so i read i mean i know yes i know it’s election day but you also kind of have to think a couple days ahead right so not only we have to think about election day we got to think what happens you know after we get what after we get the football what happens you know charlie brown gets the football then what so we we kind of have to think like what are we going to do with all of that you know with with the consent of the voters and Now, I liked one of the things that I thought was, you know, I like that Malai down in Argentina. He went in and like took a machete and started slashing rhetorically everything. And I was thinking of this literally right when this hit my inbox. It’s called thoughts on the post-election. And my friend Glenn Reynolds, the great esteemed insta pundit, lord of all social media, even though he left it because he hates it and rightfully so. Uh, I thought this was a, I thought he needs to actually advise if the Trump campaign gets in there, just call Glenn and have him tell you what to do because he lays it all out in this. You can find him at instapundant.substack.com and we’ll throw the link down there, uh, as well. But, uh, Glenn joins us now via Skype. My good friend, Knoxville, Knoxville, Tennessee law professor. He’s a scholar. He’s a man of many talents. It’s good to see you. I like what you put here. I would love for him to go MLI style and just cut and slash and then bring in Elon Musk, two trillion cut. What would the bureaucrats do if that happened?
SPEAKER 10 :
Well, the beauty is they probably would be caught on the back foot because they’re not good at moving fast. They’re good at moving sort of undercover and undetectably as they undercut you. And I think you just have to get inside their decision loop and just shock it all all the way. And I think when Trump came in, Last time, after he’d been in for several months, I wrote just a little post on my blog where I said, you know, he’s losing position because they’re not moving fast enough. They should have had bills delivering on campaign promises lined up like airplanes on a runway. Instead, you know, they focused on that one tax bill that the GOP establishment liked. And that was a mistake because once they passed that, the establishment didn’t really need him anymore and was free to start stabbing him in the back. So he needs to be more strategic. He needs to basically just overwhelm the media and the bureaucracy with change, change, change before they can react. It’s sort of like, you know, saturating the targeting system on missiles or something. Just have so many things incoming at once that they can’t react and just move super fast. And I’m kind of. encourage i mean i think he was very naive in 2016 he thought that because he was the republican president the republican party would just basically support him and he could put republican uh stalwarts and his office holders and they would support him and of course that turned out not to be true i think he knows better now and i think turning elon musk is a very good sign And Elon is actually very good at thinking strategically. And he’s got a lot of other people now on his side who are very good at thinking strategically. And I expect, including JD Vance and Vivek and so on, I think he’s going to unleash them all.
SPEAKER 02 :
Yeah, you make a really good point talking with our friend Glenn Reynolds, who’s a bestselling author and, of course, the famed insta pundit about his piece over at Substack and what to expect after election day. You make a really good point about moving fast because I felt like and I go back to Malai in Argentina because it felt like that’s what he did. He worked so fast. The headlines couldn’t keep up with him. We all here in the United States, we’re watching it like every day he’s cutting like, you know, here’s another billion and another billion here. Oh, it’s been two hours. He’s cut 20 billion dollars. And that’s I mean, it only does it seem it seems massive, like massive amounts of money to us. But only in government bureaucracies is it actually considered small. But this is, of course, Glenn. He gets into the White House without a lot of issue. The inauguration in 2016, I mean, the destruction, the fires, the assault, everything that was taking place. I mean, they I think the left actually kind of likes it when they lose because they love writing. They love cheating and writing. And we saw and I know you’ve seen they’ve been boarding up businesses online. Our friend Ben Shapiro said it was like Trump Passover, like these businesses are like putting up the boards and like, please don’t come and get us. You know, I mean, do you if he wins, do you expect, number one, that widespread kind of destruction? And number two, is anybody in D.C. left to move to counter it?
SPEAKER 10 :
I do think that will happen again. I mean, you know, I was one of my friends who was sort of depressed about the election. I was trying to cheer up and I was like, well, look, they’re not boarding up D.C. because they think Kamala is going to win. So I think that’s although given the way the left is nowadays, they ride in any excuse, I guess. But, yeah, I think that. Frankly, all these riots in blue communities help Republicans and hurt Democrats. I mean, they make certain Democratic constituencies feel good about themselves. But overall, if Trump wins this time, as seems likely, it’s going to be in no small part in reaction to all this lawlessness. And even a lot of people who live in blue communities who are initially sort of supportive of it are over it now. I actually talked to a Democrat friend the other day who said that if Trump wins, it’s going to be because of what she calls the CVS effect, where everybody’s sick of going into drugstores and seeing everything locked up because of, you know, untrammeled shoplifting and stuff. uh so there’s that i now there may be some resistance in congress there’s a tweet going around now which is which jamie raskin claims is fake where he said you can vote for trump if you want but we’re not going to certify him for the election and that’s dated like yesterday however he said more or less the same thing back in august uh and it was reported all over in politico and stuff uh if it’s a super close election the democrats may try to pull some sort of you know insurrection 14th amendment claim to block trump now if that happens there are two things that you could do one is trump could ask his followers to just all come to dc and he could probably have two or three million people in dc uh in very short order and i think the establishment would back down on that and i call that the yeltsin on a tank strategy The flip side of it is he could also just say, okay, fine, you know, your new president is now J.D. Vance, and by the way, he’s eligible for two terms, and I’ll be his advisor. So is that what you want, Jamie? That’s actually, yeah. It’s a stupid idea, which I think is being touted mostly to satisfy some not very bright Democratic constituencies, which, to be fair, is mostly Raskin’s constituency. But, I mean, it would be moronic and counterproductive for them to do it. So if they want to try, they can live with the results.
SPEAKER 02 :
Yeah, I feel like they’re already trying to put the wheels in motion if there is a Trump victory, like especially in Canaan. I talked about it before and we’ve had a Charles Payne on. We’ve talked about the economy. I just I’m waiting for the debt bomb. You’ve written about this. I’m waiting for this like economic eruption. And they’re going to turn around and be like, well, see, we told you you elected Trump. It’s all his fault.
SPEAKER 10 :
See, they can do that. But I just want to remind you what Rob Emanuel says, which is never let a crisis go to waste. If you’re looking to cut the federal government by, say, 60 percent, a debt collapse is the perfect time to do it. You just have to tell people, yeah, we’ve defaulted, we’re broke. All these people who are squealing about us abolishing the Department of Education, moving the FBI headquarters to an abandoned warehouse in Plattsburgh, New York, and stuff like that. Sorry, there’s no money. You guys spent it all. We’re just having to clean up the mess now. And I can tell you from the university setting that the only time you can successfully cut budgets at a university is when you’re in a financial crisis. And I think that’s probably true for the U.S. government, too, that a financial crisis is actually the only time you can really slash budgets. And that’s actually what Milley did. I mean, that’s his excuse or his opportunity is they were broke. They were defaulting. The previous administration had once again spent them into bankruptcy. And so he’s like, I got to clean up this mess. And the public supported him. And, you know, I don’t know, I’ve written about the debt bomb pretty recently on my substack as well. And as I’ve said, people have been saying it’s going to explode on us any day now for literally as long as I’ve been alive. But something that can’t go on forever won’t, and it can’t go on forever. It’s getting steadily worse. My wife is suspicious that the Federal Reserve is just waiting to pull the trigger and have everything collapse after Trump’s elected.
SPEAKER 02 :
I kind of maybe share some of her suspicions. Dr. Helen, I think might be on to something. I identify with some of that. Talking with our friend Glenn Reynolds. Last thing for you, Glenn. I know it’s like reading a crystal ball at this point or like a magic eight ball or something that you can just shake and peer into. I don’t know. I mean, it’s so close. But I feel like there are some signs that after the fact, we’re going to look back and go, why didn’t we know? Oh, that makes sense. We should have known that it was a victory there or whatever. What do you think is going to happen tonight?
SPEAKER 10 :
I mean, I, you know, I’m not a good predictor. My gut says Trump’s going to win and he’s going to win pretty soundly. I put a little graphic at the top of my sub stack and it wasn’t very serious, but I just went through an election calculator and sort of picked all the states I thought Trump had a a chance of winning significantly. And I even left a couple out that would be sort of a long shot that I wouldn’t rule out completely. And that had him at like 341. It looks pretty convincing. Will he get that? Who knows? I will say in 2016, I was a lot less optimistic than this. And this election feels more to me like 2016 than it feels like 2020. And in 2020, the Democrats claim was, we’ll bring things back to normal after all the chaos of Trump, which of course was chaos they mostly created. But now they can’t say that because they’ve created even more chaos when they were in power. Now Trump looks like the normal guy.
SPEAKER 02 :
Yeah, that’s how bad Democrats are. They they hated him so bad they made him look like more normal compared to them. I don’t it’s going to be interesting either way. So hopefully nothing will burn tonight. We’ll see Glenn Reynolds over Instapundit at Substack because that’ll be another essay that I read. Always good to see you, my friend. Thank you.
SPEAKER 08 :
Thank you.
SPEAKER 02 :
I still maintain that the biggest realization and really the epitaph of Kamala Harris’s political career is going to be not picking Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania. What they did in that selection has done more to divide and splinter their own side than anything that Republicans could have ever done. And I honestly do not think that the full measure of that has will be has been felt. I don’t think this election will be the last measure of it either. I really do believe that they are going to. And it’s not because he was like, you know, some, you know, super kid, super governor, super man guy, you know, like in the party. It’s because it clearly was an opposition to him being Jewish. That’s why he wasn’t selected. And there are so many people who that really hit in the Democrat Party. And like I said, that full measure is still to come. Now, we have gone over electoral college. You need to go to Substack. Lorraine, she’s been following the shenanigans over there at different polling sites. And there is… A lot. There are going to be false claims about different machines and things like that. Be very careful what you believe, because a lot of stuff that comes out today is just it’s there are there are some agitators on the right. Then you that’s most of the left. So much of it is going to be pure propaganda. Just keep a singular focus. You did your part. If you haven’t, you better go do it. And you better make sure, that sounded like a parent lecturing, I didn’t mean to sound, but yeah, you better go to it. And then you better make sure that everyone you know has voted. Everybody that you know has voted. And then, after that, you just need to keep focus and then just keep a clear head and be cool. Just, that’s all you gotta, that’s all you gotta do. But, you know, ultimately, hopefully, I’m, it’s so close and I’m, It’s so close that I don’t even want to forecast. I will say, I think we’ll take the Senate. I feel pretty confident in that. And I didn’t feel confident about the House a couple of months ago. I feel a lot better about the House tonight. But it’s the White House that’s very close. And I know you also have to be cautious and, yes, use down ticket to measure the health at the top of the ticket. But also, what is the other thing, the last thing that I’ve told you about, too? Split ticket voting. It’s not 100% to look at down ballot to give you an indication of top of ticket. You got to keep that in mind, split ticket voting. All of these trends usually emerge, of course, after the ballots are counted. So I’m going to be on the notes section of Substack tonight. I’ll be popping it out on Facebook and on X. And I’ll be up on the first for a couple of things. And obviously, we’re going to recap everything tomorrow in minute detail. But just remember, you should not feel – and I don’t want anyone – if there isn’t a victory, I don’t want people to feel crestfallen or to feel despair because so long as you have in this republic good people who want to do good things and stand for good values, as long as you have people willing to do that – then you have a republic and you have a republic worth saving. Nothing is so ever far gone unless you allow it to be so. And remember, this is a generational fight. You’re not going to solve all of the nation’s problems in one night. So don’t take too much upon yourself and give yourself a little break, relax, exhale, because no matter what, there are options. Hopefully it’s a victory tonight. It’s very close, so just pray about it. So I just don’t want people to be like, because I have friends who are texting me. They’re like, oh, my gosh, where are you at? And I’m like talking, texting my friends, like walking them back off the cliff. I’m like, OK, chill out. Chill out. Come on. Let’s just be. Now, I will say I’m not going to promise not to be an insufferable brat tomorrow if things go a certain way. You know, I’m just saying I I’m not saying I’m trying so hard not to tempt fate with schadenfreude. But you know what I mean? OK, today in stupidity came.
SPEAKER 03 :
There was so much to choose from today. You can’t play it all at once. I can’t play it all at once. But I thought we’d go ahead and decide. Wisconsin’s Democrat Party chair, his name is Benjamin Wickler. He says, look guys, yeah, we’re underperforming right now. But, now listen to this.
SPEAKER 09 :
The absentee ballots and the in-person election day votes. So that means that you’re going to see a red mirage where it seems like Trump is doing better than he actually is because they haven’t counted and reported those absentee ballots yet. And then the blue shift when those ballots are introduced to add to the totals, that could be in the middle of the night. It certainly was in 2020.
SPEAKER 02 :
That’s so dumb, and that’s not how this works.
SPEAKER 03 :
They’re trying to prepare everyone for a big steal, but it’s not happening.
SPEAKER 02 :
So dumb. Yeah, that was that one’s folks that does it for us this election day. Go and vote because your country depends on it. We’re going to recap all of this tomorrow. Find us on Substack, on YouTube, on Facebook, on X. God bless. Go vote. Do it for the country back tomorrow.
Election Day Showdown: The Red Surge, the Blue Wall, and the Battle for Congress
In an episode packed with political insights and election commentary, Dana Lash leads you through a whirlwind of election day activities, exploring early voting advantages and hindrances for both parties. Unearth the complexities of the so-called blue wall, and delve deep into the unexpected patterns emerging from the current voting statistics compared to previous years. Meanwhile, prepare for twists and cultural snippets that keep the conversation lively and engaging.
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